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Weather anomalies in Orenburg

Meteorological anomaly monitor for Orenburg — spring flood risk, active anomalies, and historical anomaly frequency

Spring Flood RiskLow
Snowpack anomaly
+0
Melt rate
+0
Rain-on-snow events
+0
Precipitation anomaly
+0
Temperature trend
+0

This indicator reflects meteorological conditions only. Reservoir and dam operations are not modelled and may significantly affect actual flood risk.

Temperature

-0.43

Pressure

+1.53

Precipitation

-0.59

Wind speed

-1.46

Humidity

-0.67

UV Index

-0.93
Estimated Snow Water EquivalentCurrent SWE: 0 mm
Winter comparisonEstimated Snow Water EquivalentFlood occurred
2022-20231.7No flood
2023-20241.7Flood occurred
2024-20251.9No flood
2025-20265.8No flood
2026-20270In progress

Active Anomalies

Heat Wave

Abnormally high temperatures for this time of year

Normal−0.43σ
Cold Snap

Abnormally low temperatures for this time of year

Normal−0.43σ
Rapid Pressure Drop

Barometric pressure has fallen by 5 hPa or more in the last few hours

Pressure drop+0.1 hPa
Freezing Rain Risk

Precipitation detected at near-freezing temperatures

Temperature+1.3 °C
Fog Conditions

High probability of fog formation: temperature near dew point with calm winds

Dew-point spreadΔ2.8 °C
Drought (SPI-30)

30-day Standardised Precipitation Index is below −1.5, indicating significantly drier than normal conditions

Active since November 1, 2026
SPI-30-1.87
Extreme UV

UV index significantly above historical norm for this period

Slightly off−0.93σ
Abnormal Pressure High

Exceptionally high atmospheric pressure; elevated smog and inversion risk

Elevated+1.53σ
Strong Wind Event

Wind speed significantly above normal; structural and transport hazard

Moderate deviation−1.46σ
Wind speed2.6 m/s
Fire Risk Conditions

Low humidity combined with elevated wind and dry recent weather increases fire spread risk

7-day precipitation0.0 mm
Late Spring Frost

Sub-zero temperatures after spring onset; risk of agricultural damage

Normal−0.43σ
Temperature+1.3 °C
Heat Stress

Apparent temperature (heat index) above safe threshold for outdoor activity

Heat index1.3 °C

Anomaly History

NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
TypeStart DateEnd DateDurationPeak Value
Drought (SPI-30)1 Nov 2026—In progress-1.87
Abnormal Pressure High1 Nov 20261 Nov 20260d1.87
Fog Conditions31 Oct 20261 Nov 20261d2.50
Abnormal Pressure High31 Oct 20261 Nov 20261d1.96
Abnormal Pressure High30 Oct 202631 Oct 20261d2.12
Abnormal Pressure High29 Oct 202630 Oct 20261d2.22
Fire Risk Conditions29 Oct 202630 Oct 20261d0.00
Fog Conditions28 Oct 202629 Oct 20261d1.80
Abnormal Pressure High28 Oct 202629 Oct 20261d2.56
Fog Conditions27 Oct 202628 Oct 20261d2.30
Abnormal Pressure High27 Oct 202628 Oct 20261d2.67
Fog Conditions26 Oct 202627 Oct 20261d2.40
Abnormal Pressure High26 Oct 202627 Oct 20261d2.71
Abnormal Pressure High25 Oct 202626 Oct 20261d2.85
Fog Conditions25 Oct 202626 Oct 20261d2.30
Abnormal Pressure High24 Oct 202625 Oct 20261d2.91
Abnormal Pressure High23 Oct 202624 Oct 20261d2.81
Abnormal Pressure High22 Oct 202623 Oct 20261d2.38
Abnormal Pressure High21 Oct 202622 Oct 20261d2.44
Fire Risk Conditions21 Oct 202622 Oct 20261d0.00
Abnormal Pressure High20 Oct 202621 Oct 20261d2.54
Fire Risk Conditions20 Oct 202621 Oct 20261d0.00
Fire Risk Conditions19 Oct 202620 Oct 20261d0.00
Heat Wave17 Oct 202617 Oct 20260d1.62
Abnormal Pressure High16 Oct 202616 Oct 20260d1.94
Heat Wave16 Oct 202617 Oct 20261d2.29
Heat Wave15 Oct 202616 Oct 20261d2.32
Heat Wave14 Oct 202615 Oct 20261d2.59
Fog Conditions12 Oct 202613 Oct 20261d1.10
Fog Conditions11 Oct 202612 Oct 20261d2.10
Fog Conditions10 Oct 202611 Oct 20261d1.70
Fog Conditions9 Oct 20269 Oct 20260d-0.80
Fog Conditions8 Oct 20269 Oct 20261d-0.30
Fog Conditions6 Oct 20267 Oct 20261d2.40
Fire Risk Conditions6 Oct 20267 Oct 20261d0.59
Cold Snap4 Oct 20265 Oct 20261d-2.70
Freezing Rain Risk4 Oct 20265 Oct 20261d0.80
Freezing Rain Risk3 Oct 20264 Oct 20261d1.40
Fire Risk Conditions30 Sep 20261 Oct 20261d0.00
Fire Risk Conditions29 Sep 202629 Sep 20260d0.00
Fire Risk Conditions29 Sep 202630 Sep 20261d0.00
Abnormal Pressure High27 Sep 202627 Sep 20260d1.86
Fire Risk Conditions27 Sep 202628 Sep 20261d0.00
Abnormal Pressure High26 Sep 202626 Sep 20260d1.84
Fire Risk Conditions26 Sep 202627 Sep 20261d0.00
Heat Wave25 Sep 202625 Sep 20260d1.65
Heat Wave24 Sep 202625 Sep 20261d2.00
Heat Wave23 Sep 202624 Sep 20261d2.28
Fog Conditions20 Sep 202621 Sep 20261d2.10
Heat Wave16 Sep 202617 Sep 20261d2.77